Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.773325 0.981154 1.213514 1.489747 1.806390 2.155344 2.566277
2025-08-03 0.458910 0.710822 1.028672 1.446247 1.967672 2.585302 3.359948
2025-08-10 0.285384 0.546417 0.917935 1.452185 2.168768 3.066931 4.247402
2025-08-17 0.164599 0.404424 0.793846 1.406493 2.284463 3.440768 5.021380
2025-08-24 0.108876 0.339423 0.760009 1.471490 2.543609 4.007228 6.063735
2025-08-31 0.064571 0.269771 0.696745 1.475519 2.708364 4.449508 6.958680
2025-09-07 0.043808 0.238763 0.691205 1.565483 3.000304 5.075972 8.120098
2025-09-14 0.027490 0.205604 0.670819 1.623716 3.243108 5.639501 9.211529
2025-09-21 0.015390 0.171497 0.636982 1.650049 3.432797 6.129838 10.213028
2025-09-28 0.006672 0.133584 0.580093 1.622123 3.527651 6.479573 11.022563
2025-10-05 0.002984 0.112097 0.555865 1.651732 3.716427 6.972933 12.046461
2025-10-12 0.000978 0.091706 0.525861 1.663315 3.871832 7.417552 13.008014
2025-10-19 0.000093 0.067828 0.473762 1.621158 3.933029 7.724760 13.788326
2025-10-26 NaN 0.049196 0.426978 1.581463 3.993709 8.031732 14.575910
2025-11-02 NaN 0.038452 0.403223 1.591056 4.144445 8.486014 15.593331
2025-11-09 NaN 0.026198 0.360300 1.544022 4.182255 8.756292 16.337584
2025-11-16 NaN 0.022947 0.362362 1.614149 4.450854 9.412468 17.681898
2025-11-23 NaN 0.017095 0.341787 1.618879 4.588965 9.854703 18.705653
2025-11-30 NaN 0.015936 0.353119 1.714938 4.915259 10.619797 20.240409
2025-12-07 NaN 0.013609 0.352843 1.777035 5.174499 11.277108 21.618029
2025-12-14 NaN 0.010569 0.341766 1.805110 5.364192 11.820075 22.825721
2025-12-21 NaN 0.006779 0.313667 1.775432 5.430267 12.151879 23.707234
2025-12-28 NaN 0.005106 0.305411 1.806948 5.626906 12.712417 24.956412